This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 24% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 24% to break even | 0%–35% | 24 points shortwon 0%, needs 24% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 24% to break even | 2%–35% | 14 points shortwon 10%, needs 24% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 24% to break even | 5%–33% | 11 points shortwon 13%, needs 24% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 24% to break even | 0%–73% | 24 points shortwon 0%, needs 24% |
| Last season | 18 of 8322%needs 24% to break even | 15%–30% | 3 points shortwon 22%, needs 24% |
| Every game |
Tonight DEN plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 8 of 24 without Johnson · 8 of 40 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Jamal Murray game, newest first: whether Murray had a double-double.
This player's other props in the game.
| 15%–30% |
| 3 points shortwon 21%, needs 24% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Apr 30 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Double-double | Won | |
| Apr 1 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 25 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 17 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | No double-double | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STARS | No double-double | Lost |
| Feb 11 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | Double-double | Won | |
| Feb 7 | Double-double | Won | |
| Feb 4 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 30 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 18 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 4 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 2 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | Double-double | Won | |
| Dec 27 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | Double-double | Won | |
| Dec 23 | Double-double | Won | |
| Dec 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | Double-double | Won | |
| Dec 3 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | Double-double | Won | |
| Nov 19 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | Double-double | Won | |
| Nov 15 | Double-double | Won | |
| Nov 12 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | Double-double | Won | |
| -151at DraftKings |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even12 of 24 without Johnson · 29 of 40 at home |
| 3.1Good |
| Gets a triple-doubleJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +4500at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 2% to break even0 of 24 without Johnson · 0 of 40 at home | -2.1Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reboundsJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +229at Kalshi | 30 of 83· last season36%needs 30% to break even6 of 24 without Johnson · 13 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pointsJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +300at BetMGM | 26 of 83· last season31%needs 25% to break even8 of 24 without Johnson · 12 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 reboundsJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +109at BetOnline | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even10 of 24 without Johnson · 18 of 40 at home | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 threesJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | -182at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even15 of 24 without Johnson · 25 of 40 at home | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 threesJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +132at Caesars | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even13 of 24 without Johnson · 17 of 40 at home | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 threesJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +325at BetMGM | 22 of 83· last season27%needs 24% to break even6 of 24 without Johnson · 12 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 31.5 pts + astJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | -120at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 55% to break even9 of 24 without Johnson · 22 of 40 at home | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 assistsJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even6 of 24 without Johnson · 14 of 40 at home | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 assistsJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +110at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even10 of 24 without Johnson · 18 of 40 at home | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 pts + reb + astJamal Murray · Today 9:10 PM ETWithout Johnson | +200at BetMGM | 31 of 83· last season37%needs 33% to break even12 of 24 without Johnson · 11 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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