This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 25% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 25% to break even | 5%–56% | 5 points shortwon 20%, needs 25% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 25% to break even | 13%–56% | 5 points betterwon 30%, needs 25% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 25% to break even | 13%–48% | 2 points betterwon 27%, needs 25% |
| This season | 6 of 3020%needs 25% to break even | 11%–34% | 5 points shortwon 20%, needs 25% |
| Last season | 13 of 3438%needs 25% to break even | 26%–52% | 13 points betterwon 38%, needs 25% |
| Every game | 19 of 6430%needs 25% to break even | 21%–40% | 5 points betterwon 30%, needs 25% |
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against NYC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 32 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Atlanta United FC game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 24 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Draw | Won | |
| May 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 2 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Oct 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 11 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| May 31 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 14 | Draw | Won | |
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 26 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL to win moneylineAtlanta United FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX+310at betPARX | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 24% to break even5 of 32 on the road | -10.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX+128at betPARX | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even9 of 32 on the road | -14.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX-167at betPARX | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 63% to break even23 of 32 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.