This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 43% to break even | 44%–87% | 27 points betterwon 70%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 43% to break even | 39%–78% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| This season | 13 of 3043%needs 43% to break even | 30%–58% | evenwon 43%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 13 of 3438%needs 43% to break even | 26%–52% | 5 points shortwon 38%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 26 of 6441%needs 43% to break even | 31%–51% | 3 points shortwon 41%, needs 43% |
Tonight STL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against RSL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL 0 spreadSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| 13 of 30· this season43%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -21.7Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | PIN+103at Pinnacle | 13 of 26· this season50%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 15 games, 5 skipped90%needs 48% to break even |
| -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| STL to win moneylineSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | PIN+174at Pinnacle | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 36% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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