This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 475%needs 55% to break even | 36%–94% | 20 points betterwon 75%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 888%needs 55% to break even | 59%–97% | 33 points betterwon 88%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1369%needs 55% to break even | 46%–85% | 14 points betterwon 69%, needs 55% |
| This season | 13 of 2650%needs 55% to break even | 35%–65% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 13 of 2454%needs 55% to break even | 38%–70% | 1 points shortwon 54%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 26 of 5052%needs 55% to break even | 41%–63% | 3 points shortwon 52%, needs 55% |
Tonight STL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against RSL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL 0 spreadSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET |
| Opponent |
|---|
| Total goals |
|---|
| Beat 3 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 8 | +5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| May 23 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 16 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 9 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 19 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 5 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 31 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 24 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 14 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 3 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| 13 of 30· this season43%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -21.7Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | PIN+103at Pinnacle | 13 of 26· this season50%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 15 games, 5 skipped90%needs 48% to break even |
| -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| STL to win moneylineSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | PIN+174at Pinnacle | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 36% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalSt. Louis City SC · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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