This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 48% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 2.2total goals |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 48% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% | 3.5total goals |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 48% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% | 3.3total goals |
| This season | 15 of 3050%needs 48% to break even | 36%–64% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% | 3.4total goals |
| Last season | 12 of 3633%needs 48% to break even | 22%–47% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% | 3.1total goals |
| Every game | 27 of 6641%needs 48% to break even | 32%–51% | 7 points shortwon 41%, needs 48% | 3.2total goals |
Tonight DAL plays at home, as the favorite, against CLB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 12 of 32 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, DAL gamesFC Dallas · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-137at betPARX | 24 of 36· last season67%needs 58% to break even20 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, DAL gamesFC Dallas · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | +300at Hard Rock | 12 of 36· last season33%needs 25% to break even9 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price | |
| DAL to win moneylineFC Dallas · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | -110at Hard Rock | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 52% to break even13 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.