This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 47% to break even | 27%–86% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% | 2.6total goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 47% to break even | 35%–81% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% | 3.3total goals |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 47% to break even | 46%–83% | 19 points betterwon 67%, needs 47% | 3.2total goals |
| This season | 19 of 3063%needs 47% to break even | 48%–76% | 16 points betterwon 63%, needs 47% | 3.2total goals |
| Last season |
Tonight CHI plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 20 of 34 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET |
| 15 of 3741%needs 47% to break even |
| 28%–54% |
| 7 points shortwon 41%, needs 47% |
| 3.8total goals |
| Every game | 34 of 6751%needs 47% to break even | 41%–61% | 4 points betterwon 51%, needs 47% | 3.5total goals |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 7 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| -148at BetRivers |
| 22 of 37· last season59%needs 60% to break even14 of 34 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 37· last season24%needs 22% to break even7 of 34 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.6Not beating its price |
| CHI to win moneylineChicago Fire · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | -155at BetRivers | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 61% to break even16 of 34 at home | Record is this season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.