This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% | lost by 0.4goals |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% | lost by 0.5goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 50% to break even | 22%–61% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% | lost by 0.7goals |
| This season | 16 of 3053%needs 50% to break even | 39%–67% | 4 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% | lost by 0.6goals |
| Last season |
Tonight RBNY plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 21 of 32 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against RBNY +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, RBNY gamesNew York Red Bulls · Today 5:30 PM ET |
| 42%–69% |
| 6 points betterwon 56%, needs 50% |
| levelgoals |
| Every game | 35 of 6455%needs 50% to break even | 44%–65% | 5 points betterwon 55%, needs 50% | lost by 0.2goals |
| Margin |
|---|
| Beat -0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +128at BetRivers |
| 25 of 34· last season74%needs 44% to break even19 of 32 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 7.9Good |
| Under 1.5 team totalNew York Red Bulls · Today 5:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 53% to break even16 of 32 at home | 2.8Slight |
| Under 4.5 game total, RBNY gamesNew York Red Bulls · Today 5:30 PM ET | -180at BetRivers | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 64% to break even22 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| RBNY to win moneylineNew York Red Bulls · Today 5:30 PM ET | +300at Hard Rock | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 25% to break even15 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Draw, RBNY gamesNew York Red Bulls · Today 5:30 PM ET | +350at Hard Rock | 7 of 34· last season21%needs 22% to break even6 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, RBNY gamesNew York Red Bulls · Today 5:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 7 of 30· this season23%needs 37% to break even10 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -28.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalNew York Red Bulls · Today 5:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 13 of 34· last season38%needs 51% to break even16 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -36.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, RBNY gamesNew York Red Bulls · Today 5:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 11 of 30· this season37%needs 56% to break even13 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -39.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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