This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 17% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 17% to break even | 14%–73% | 23 points betterwon 40%, needs 17% | lost by 0.4goals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 17% to break even | 7%–46% | 3 points betterwon 20%, needs 17% | lost by 1.1goals |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 17% to break even | 17%–54% | 16 points betterwon 33%, needs 17% | lost by 0.5goals |
| This season | 10 of 3033%needs 17% to break even | 21%–48% | 16 points betterwon 33%, needs 17% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Last season |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 33 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against CIN to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 game total, CIN gamesFC Cincinnati · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET |
| 22 of 3858%needs 17% to break even |
| 45%–70% |
| 41 points betterwon 58%, needs 17% |
| won by 0.2goals |
| Every game | 32 of 6847%needs 17% to break even | 37%–57% | 30 points betterwon 47%, needs 17% | levelgoals |
| Opponent |
|---|
| Margin |
|---|
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 23 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| PRX-124at betPARX |
| 31 of 38· last season82%needs 55% to break even22 of 33 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.4Not beating its price |
| Draw, CIN gamesFC Cincinnati · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | +490at Kalshi | 9 of 30· this season30%needs 17% to break even8 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, CIN gamesFC Cincinnati · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX-105at betPARX | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 51% to break even11 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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