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MLSGame lineTotal
FC Cincinnati @ D.C. United: under 2.5
Won16 of 34last season · 47%
Best price+245Polymarket
Price needs29.0%wins to break even
Every game27 of 64this season and last
Trend score-11.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 29% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 29% to break even | 0%–35% | 29 points shortwon 0%, needs 29% | 4.2total goals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 29% to break even | 7%–46% | 9 points shortwon 20%, needs 29% | 3.1total goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 29% to break even | 13%–48% | 2 points shortwon 27%, needs 29% | 3total goals |
| This season | 11 of 3037%needs 29% to break even | 24%–52% | 8 points betterwon 37%, needs 29% | 3total goals |
| Last season | 16 of 3447%needs 29% to break even | 34%–61% | 18 points betterwon 47%, needs 29% | 2.8total goals |
| Every game | 27 of 6442%needs 29% to break even | 33%–52% | 13 points betterwon 42%, needs 29% | 2.9total goals |
Games like tonight
Tonight DC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 14 of 32 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
FC Cincinnati @ D.C. United: under 2.55 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  CIN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 |  ORL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 |  RBNY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  MIA | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  VAN | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  CLT | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  ATL | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 9 |  CLB | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  LAFC | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 | CLT | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 19 |  NE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 15 |  MTL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 1 |  NSH | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 |  TOR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 22 |  HOU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 23 | MTL | 8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| May 16 |  STL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 13 |  CHI | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | NSH | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 3 |  NYC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | ORL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | RBNY | 8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 |  PHI | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 | NE | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 |  DAL | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 | ATL | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | CHI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | MIA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  ATX | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | PHI | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ATL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | CLT | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | PHI | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | MIA | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | ORL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | NYC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | MIA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 16 | MTL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 9 | NE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 26 | ATX | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | CLB | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | CLT | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 12 |  LA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 5 | ATL | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jun 28 | NSH | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jun 14 |  RSL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jun 7 | CHI | 8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| May 31 | CIN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 28 | NE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 24 | RBNY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | NSH | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 14 | NYC | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 10 | TOR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 3 |  COL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | PHI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | RBNY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | CIN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 |  SJ | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 | CLB | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | ORL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | MTL | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  SKC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | CHI | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | TOR | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, DC gamesD.C. United · Today 7:30 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even9 of 32 at home | -27.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on D.C. United in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalD.C. United · Today 7:30 PM ET |  -105at Polymarket | 25 of 34· last season74%needs 51% to break even22 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price | |
| Draw, DC gamesD.C. United · Today 7:30 PM ET |  +310at FanDuel | 12 of 30· this season40%needs 24% to break even12 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -5.7Not beating its price | |
| DC +0.5 spreadD.C. United · Today 7:30 PM ET |  -145at DraftKings | 19 of 30· this season63%needs 59% to break even19 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -23.8Not beating its price | |
| DC to win moneylineD.C. United · Today 7:30 PM ET |  +185at Fanatics | 7 of 30· this season23%needs 35% to break even7 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -24.9Not beating its price | |
| DC -0.5 spreadD.C. United · Today 7:30 PM ET |  +148at BetRivers | 7 of 30· this season23%needs 40% to break even7 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -29.8Not beating its price | |
| DC PK spreadD.C. United · Today 7:30 PM ET | +115at DraftKings | 7 of 18· this season39%needs 47% to break even7 of 20 at home | Record is this season's | -29.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 team totalD.C. United · Today 7:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 11 of 30· this season37%needs 54% to break even10 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.