This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 3.6total goals |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 54% to break even | 13%–56% | 24 points shortwon 30%, needs 54% | 3.3total goals |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 54% to break even | 17%–54% | 21 points shortwon 33%, needs 54% | 3.3total goals |
| This season | 8 of 3027%needs 54% to break even | 16%–41% | 27 points shortwon 27%, needs 54% | 3total goals |
| Last season | 9 of 3426%needs 54% to break even | 16%–40% | 27 points shortwon 26%, needs 54% | 2.8total goals |
| Every game | 17 of 6427%needs 54% to break even | 19%–36% | 27 points shortwon 27%, needs 54% | 2.9total goals |
Tonight NE plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against RBNY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 32 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, NE gamesNew England Revolution · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX-110at betPARX | 25 of 34· last season74%needs 52% to break even25 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, NE gamesNew England Revolution · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX+310at betPARX | 9 of 34· last season26%needs 24% to break even6 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price | |
| NE to win moneylineNew England Revolution · Wed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET | PRX-125at betPARX | 16 of 30· this season53%needs 56% to break even14 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -24.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.