This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 20% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 20% to break even | 14%–73% | 20 points betterwon 40%, needs 20% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 20% to break even | 13%–56% | 10 points betterwon 30%, needs 20% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 20% to break even | 22%–61% | 20 points betterwon 40%, needs 20% |
| This season | 10 of 3033%needs 20% to break even | 21%–48% | 14 points betterwon 33%, needs 20% |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 20% to break even | 21%–45% | 12 points betterwon 32%, needs 20% |
| Every game | 22 of 6832%needs 20% to break even | 24%–42% | 13 points betterwon 32%, needs 20% |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SKC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 34 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Minnesota United FC game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 10 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 26 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 22 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 25 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 23 | Draw | Won | |
| May 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 10 | Draw | Won | |
| May 2 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 6 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Draw | Won | |
| Last season | |||
| Nov 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | Draw | Won | |
| Nov 3 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 20 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 28 | Draw | Won | |
| May 24 | Draw | Won | |
| May 17 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 10 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 6 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 15 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota United FC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-141at betPARX | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 59% to break even12 of 34 at home | -14.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota United FC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX+110at betPARX | 25 of 38· last season66%needs 48% to break even22 of 34 at home | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price | |
| MIN to win moneylineMinnesota United FC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | -240at Hard Rock | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 71% to break even11 of 34 at home | Record is last season's | -53.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.