This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 27% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 27% to break even | 44%–95% | 53 points betterwon 80%, needs 27% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 27% to break even | 35%–81% | 33 points betterwon 60%, needs 27% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 27% to break even | 28%–67% | 19 points betterwon 47%, needs 27% |
| This season | 9 of 3030%needs 27% to break even | 18%–45% | 3 points betterwon 30%, needs 27% |
| Last season | 8 of 3424%needs 27% to break even | 14%–37% | 4 points shortwon 24%, needs 27% |
| Every game | 17 of 6427%needs 27% to break even | 19%–36% | 1 points shortwon 27%, needs 27% |
Tonight SJ plays at home, as the favorite, against COL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 32 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every San Jose Earthquakes game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 14 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 10 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 26 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 22 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 22 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| May 23 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 9 | Draw | Won | |
| May 2 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Oct 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 12 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 28 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 13 | Draw | Won | |
| May 31 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 24 | Draw | Won | |
| May 17 | Draw | Won | |
| May 14 | Draw | Won | |
| May 10 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 22 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Wed, Oct 28, 10:30 PM ET | +130at BetRivers | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 43% to break even16 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, SJ gamesSan Jose Earthquakes · Wed, Oct 28, 10:30 PM ET | -175at BetRivers | 19 of 34· last season56%needs 64% to break even16 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price | |
| SJ to win moneylineSan Jose Earthquakes · Wed, Oct 28, 10:30 PM ET | +125at BetRivers | 13 of 30· this season43%needs 44% to break even11 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -26.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.