MLBPlayer propEarned runs

Drew Rasmussen under 1.5 earned runs

Drew RasmussenTampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee BrewersToday 8:00 PM ET

Bet +101 ↗

Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%

Best price+101Kalshi

Price needs49.8%wins to break even

Every game37 of 66this season and last

Trend score-5.9Not beating its price

How often it won

This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.

Games	Record	Likely win rate	Compared with the price	Average
Last 5 games	4 of 580%needs 50% to break even	44%–95%	30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50%	0.8earned runs
Last 10 games	7 of 1070%needs 50% to break even	44%–87%	20 points betterwon 70%, needs 50%	1.4earned runs
Last 15 games	10 of 1567%needs 50% to break even	46%–83%	17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50%	1.2earned runs
This season	20 of 3459%needs 50% to break even	45%–72%	9 points betterwon 59%, needs 50%	1.6earned runs
Last season

Games like tonight

Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.

This season and last: 18 of 29 on the road.

Every book's price

Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.

Drew Rasmussen under 1.5 earned runs1 book

Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.

Kalshi+10149.8%BestBet ↗

Every game behind it

Earned runs in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.

Every number on this bet

The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.

The opposite bet

The numbers the books are posting on the other side.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details

More on Drew Rasmussen in this game

This player's other props in the game.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details

Date	Opponent	Earned runs	Beat 1.5 by	Bet
This season
Oct 18	CLE	1	+0.5	Won
Oct 12	CLE	2	-0.5	Lost
Oct 3	NYY	0	+1.5	Won
Sep 22	NYY	1	+0.5	Won
Sep 17	ATH	0	+1.5	Won
Sep 11	HOU	1	+0.5	Won
Sep 5	TEX	1	+0.5	Won
Aug 30	SD	2	-0.5	Lost
Aug 24	DET	1	+0.5	Won
Aug 19	TOR	5	-3.5	Lost
Aug 12	ATH	2	-0.5	Lost
Aug 7	SEA	0	+1.5	Won
Aug 1	CHW	0	+1.5	Won
Jul 26	CLE	0	+1.5	Won
Jul 21	TOR	2	-0.5	Lost
Jul 14	NL	0	+1.5	Won
Jul 9	NYY	6	-4.5	Lost
Jul 4	HOU	5	-3.5	Lost
Jun 28	ARI	0	+1.5	Won
Jun 22	KC	2	-0.5	Lost
Jun 16	LAD	1	+0.5	Won
Jun 10	BOS	0	+1.5	Won
Jun 5	MIA	0	+1.5	Won
May 30	LAA	5	-3.5	Lost
May 24	NYY	0	+1.5	Won
May 17	MIA	2	-0.5	Lost
May 11	TOR	3	-1.5	Lost
May 5	TOR	3	-1.5	Lost
Apr 29	CLE	2	-0.5	Lost
Apr 24	MIN	1	+0.5	Won
Apr 18	PIT	4	-2.5	Lost
Apr 12	NYY	0	+1.5	Won
Apr 1	MIL	1	+0.5	Won
Mar 26	STL	1	+0.5	Won
Last season
Sep 25	BAL	0	+1.5	Won
Sep 19	BOS	2	-0.5	Lost
Sep 13	CHC	3	-1.5	Lost
Sep 7	CLE	0	+1.5	Won
Sep 2	SEA	3	-1.5	Lost
Aug 27	CLE	2	-0.5	Lost
Aug 20	NYY	2	-0.5	Lost
Aug 13	ATH	1	+0.5	Won
Aug 8	SEA	0	+1.5	Won
Aug 2	LAD	0	+1.5	Won
Jul 28	NYY	2	-0.5	Lost
Jul 22	CHW	2	-0.5	Lost
Jul 15	NL	0	+1.5	Won
Jul 11	BOS	1	+0.5	Won
Jul 6	MIN	1	+0.5	Won
Jun 30	ATH	4	-2.5	Lost
Jun 25	KC	0	+1.5	Won
Jun 19	BAL	2	-0.5	Lost
Jun 14	NYM	4	-2.5	Lost
Jun 8	MIA	2	-0.5	Lost
Jun 3	TEX	0	+1.5	Won
May 28	MIN	0	+1.5	Won
May 23	TOR	0	+1.5	Won
May 17	MIA	0	+1.5	Won
May 11	MIL	3	-1.5	Lost
May 6	PHI	3	-1.5	Lost
Apr 30	KC	3	-1.5	Lost
Apr 24	ARI	4	-2.5	Lost
Apr 18	NYY	1	+0.5	Won
Apr 12	ATL	0	+1.5	Won
Apr 6	TEX	1	+0.5	Won
Mar 31	PIT	0	+1.5	Won