This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 72% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 72% to break even | 14%–73% | 32 points shortwon 40%, needs 72% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 72% to break even | 44%–87% | 2 points shortwon 70%, needs 72% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 72% to break even | 59%–92% | 8 points betterwon 80%, needs 72% |
| This season | 103 of 15367%needs 72% to break even | 61%–73% | 5 points shortwon 67%, needs 72% |
| Last season | 18 of 2475%needs 72% to break even | 58%–86% | 3 points betterwon 75%, needs 72% |
| Every game |
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total bases in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 total basesGarrett Mitchell |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runsGarrett Mitchell |
| 62%–74% |
| 4 points shortwon 68%, needs 72% |
| Date | Opponent | Total bases | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 20 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 18 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 2 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 31 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 27 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 20 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 7 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 2 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 1 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 26 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 16 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 7 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 2 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 26 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 16 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 16 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| -143at BetOnline |
| 83 of 153· this season54%needs 59% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 total basesGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | +210at Bovada | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 32% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +176at DraftKings |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even |
| 2.0Slight |
| Over 1.5 home runsGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | +25000at BetRivers | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 0% to break even | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 home runsGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | +950at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 10% to break even | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 walksGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | +204at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 33% to break even | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | +138at DraftKings | 68 of 153· this season44%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 stolen basesGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | +550at FanDuel | 13 of 153· this season8%needs 15% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 RBIsGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | +261at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 28% to break even | -13.5Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 stolen basesGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | -719at Kalshi | 140 of 153· this season92%needs 88% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 strikeouts (batter)Garrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | +187at DraftKings | 50 of 153· this season33%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | -180at DraftKings | 104 of 153· this season68%needs 64% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 hitsGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | -140at FanDuel | 83 of 153· this season54%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 hitsGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 70 of 153· this season46%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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