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MLBPlayer propTotal bases
Garrett Mitchell over 1.5 total bases
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price+210Bovada
Price needs32.3%wins to break even
Every game56 of 177this season and last
Trend score-15.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 32% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 32% to break even | 27%–86% | 28 points betterwon 60%, needs 32% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 32% to break even | 13%–56% | 2 points shortwon 30%, needs 32% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 32% to break even | 8%–41% | 12 points shortwon 20%, needs 32% |
| This season | 50 of 15333%needs 32% to break even | 27%–39% | evenwon 33%, needs 32% |
| Last season | 6 of 2425%needs 32% to break even | 14%–42% | 7 points shortwon 25%, needs 32% |
| Every game | 56 of 17732%needs 32% to break even | 26%–38% | 1 points shortwon 32%, needs 32% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Garrett Mitchell over 1.5 total bases9 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total bases in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total bases | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  LAD | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 14 | LAD | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | LAD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | LAD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 7 |  SD | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 6 | SD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | SD | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | SD | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  STL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | STL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | STL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 24 |  PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 23 | PHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 | PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  BAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | BAL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 18 | BAL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 17 |  PIT | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 15 | PIT | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  CIN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | CIN | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | CIN | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 9 |  CHC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 8 | CHC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | CHC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | CIN | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | CIN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 4 | CIN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 3 | CHC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | CHC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  TEX | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | TEX | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | TEX | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 26 |  NYM | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 25 | NYM | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 |  ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | ATL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 20 |  SEA | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Aug 18 | SEA | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 15 | LAD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 14 | LAD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 13 | LAD | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 12 | SD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 11 | SD | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 10 | SD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 9 |  MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | MIN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 7 | MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 6 | PIT | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 5 | PIT | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 4 | PIT | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 3 | PIT | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 2 |  LAA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 1 | LAA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 31 | LAA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 29 |  SF | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 28 | SF | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 27 | SF | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 |  COL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 24 | COL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | NYM | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 21 | NYM | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 20 | NYM | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 19 |  MIA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 18 | MIA | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 17 | MIA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 12 | PIT | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 11 | PIT | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 11 | PIT | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 9 | STL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 8 | STL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 7 | STL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 7 | STL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 6 | STL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 5 |  ARI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 4 | ARI | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 3 | ARI | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 2 | CIN | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 1 | CIN | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jun 30 | CIN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jun 29 | CIN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 28 | CHC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 27 | CHC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 26 | CHC | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jun 24 | CIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 23 | CIN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 22 | CIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 21 | ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 20 | ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 19 | ATL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jun 18 |  CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 17 | CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 16 | CLE | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jun 14 | PHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 13 | PHI | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jun 12 | PHI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jun 9 |  ATH | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jun 8 | ATH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 7 | COL | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jun 5 | COL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 4 | SF | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 3 | SF | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 2 | SF | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 31 |  HOU | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 30 | HOU | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 29 | HOU | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 27 | STL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 26 | STL | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 25 | STL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 24 | LAD | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 20 | CHC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 19 | CHC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | MIN | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 15 | MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 14 | SD | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 13 | SD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 12 | SD | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 10 |  NYY | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | NYY | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | NYY | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 4 | STL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 3 |  WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | WSH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 1 | WSH | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 | ARI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | ARI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | ARI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | PIT | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | PIT | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | PIT | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 |  DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | DET | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | MIA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | MIA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 17 | MIA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 16 |  TOR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 15 | TOR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 14 | TOR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | WSH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 | WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 |  BOS | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | BOS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  KC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | KC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | KC | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  TB | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 | TB | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 | TB | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  CHW | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 | CHW | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 | STL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 | SF | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | SF | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | SF | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | SF | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | ATH | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | ATH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 16 | DET | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 15 | DET | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 14 | DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 13 | ARI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | ARI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | ARI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 | COL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 | COL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 | COL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | CIN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | CIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | CIN | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 | KC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 | KC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 | NYY | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 | NYY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | NYY | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 total basesGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET |  +115at BetMGM | 70 of 153· this season46%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 total basesGarrett Mitchell · Today 8:00 PM ET |  -263at Kalshi | 103 of 153· this season67%needs 72% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Garrett Mitchell in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.