This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 73% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 73% to break even | 44%–95% | 7 points betterwon 80%, needs 73% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 73% to break even | 54%–93% | 7 points betterwon 80%, needs 73% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 73% to break even | 67%–95% | 14 points betterwon 87%, needs 73% |
| This season | 54 of 8266%needs 73% to break even | 57%–74% | 7 points shortwon 66%, needs 73% |
| Every game | 54 of 8266%needs 73% to break even | 57%–74% | 7 points shortwon 66%, needs 73% |
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Runs in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Runs | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 26 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 26 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runsCooper Pratt · Today 8:00 PM ET | +195at BetMGM | 28 of 82· this season34%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.