This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 64% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 64% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 64% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 64% to break even | 29%–81% | 7 points shortwon 57%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 21 of 3462%needs 64% to break even | 48%–74% | 2 points shortwon 62%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 25 of 4161%needs 64% to break even | 48%–72% | 3 points shortwon 61%, needs 64% |
Tonight OLM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against HAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, OLM gamesMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | NAN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | METZ | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | NAN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | METZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 13 of 34· last season38%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, OLM gamesMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | PIN+100at Pinnacle | 13 of 27· last season48%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, OLM gamesMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 62% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even |
| -9.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| OLM -1.5 spreadMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 40% to break even | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| OLM -1 spreadMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | PIN-104at Pinnacle | 10 of 26· last season38%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price |
| OLM to win moneylineMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -168at Bovada | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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