This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 40% to break even | 19%–65% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 40% to break even | 17%–54% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 40% to break even | 19%–71% | 3 points betterwon 43%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 10 of 3429%needs 40% to break even | 18%–43% | 11 points shortwon 29%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 13 of 4132%needs 40% to break even | 21%–44% | 8 points shortwon 32%, needs 40% |
Tonight OLM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against HAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against olm -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | NAN | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | METZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | NAN | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | METZ | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even |
| -9.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, OLM gamesMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 13 of 34· last season38%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -204at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, OLM gamesMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 14 of 34· last season41%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, OLM gamesMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | PIN+100at Pinnacle | 13 of 27· last season48%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, OLM gamesMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -105at Bovada | 14 of 27· last season52%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, OLM gamesMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 62% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, OLM gamesMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price |
| OLM to win moneylineMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -168at Bovada | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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