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Ligue 1Game lineTeam total
Over 2.5 (team total)
Won11 of 34last season · 32%
Best price+162Polymarket
Price needs38.2%wins to break even
Every game13 of 41this season and last
Trend score-22.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 38% to break even | 5%–56% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 38% to break even | 13%–56% | 8 points shortwon 30%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 38% to break even | 13%–48% | 12 points shortwon 27%, needs 38% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 38% to break even | 10%–59% | 10 points shortwon 29%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 11 of 3432%needs 38% to break even | 21%–46% | 6 points shortwon 32%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 13 of 4132%needs 38% to break even | 21%–44% | 6 points shortwon 32%, needs 38% |
Games like tonight
Tonight OLM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against HAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Over 2.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
OLM goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | OLM goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  ANG | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  TRY | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  PSG | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 |  REN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  PAR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  MON | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 21 |  STR | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | REN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 10 |  HAC | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | NAN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 |  NICE | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 |  LOR | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 | METZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | MON | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  LILL | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 |  AUX | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 |  TOU | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  LYON | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 |  BRE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 14 | STR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | PSG | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | PAR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 |  RCL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | ANG | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | NAN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | MON | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | LILL | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | TOU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | NICE | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | BRE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | AUX | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | ANG | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | RCL | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | HAC | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | METZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | STR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 | PSG | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | LOR | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | LYON | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | PAR | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 15 | REN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |  +155at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even | -9.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 team totalMarseille · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -204at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Marseille in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.