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Ligue 1Game lineTotal
Le Havre @ Marseille: under 2.5
Won23 of 34last season · 68%
Best price+155Polymarket
Price needs39.2%wins to break even
Every game27 of 41this season and last
Trend score0.0Slight
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 39% to break even | 44%–87% | 31 points betterwon 70%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 39% to break even | 46%–83% | 27 points betterwon 67%, needs 39% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 39% to break even | 29%–81% | 18 points betterwon 57%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 23 of 3468%needs 39% to break even | 54%–79% | 28 points betterwon 68%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 27 of 4166%needs 39% to break even | 53%–77% | 27 points betterwon 66%, needs 39% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against OLM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Le Havre @ Marseille: under 2.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  AUX | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  LILL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  TOU | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  ANG | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  BRE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  LYON | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 |  MON | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 |  LOR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 10 |  OLM | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 3 | LILL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | METZ | 8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | ANG | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  NICE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | AUX | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  PAR | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | LYON | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | BRE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 |  PSG | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | NAN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | TOU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 |  STR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  RCL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | MON | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 |  REN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | ANG | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | LYON | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | PAR | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | LILL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | PSG | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | NAN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | TOU | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | BRE | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | AUX | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | OLM | 8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | REN | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | METZ | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | LOR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | STR | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | NICE | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | RCL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | MON | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, HAC gamesLe Havre · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |  -179at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 64% to break even | -40.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3 game total, HAC gamesLe Havre · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |  -105at Bovada | 2 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped50%needs 51% to break even | -34.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 game total, HAC gamesLe Havre · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |  +140at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 42% to break even | -27.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Le Havre in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.