This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 64% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 64% to break even | 13%–56% | 34 points shortwon 30%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 64% to break even | 17%–54% | 31 points shortwon 33%, needs 64% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 64% to break even | 19%–71% | 21 points shortwon 43%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 11 of 3432%needs 64% to break even | 21%–46% | 32 points shortwon 32%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 14 of 4134%needs 64% to break even | 23%–47% | 30 points shortwon 34%, needs 64% |
Tonight HAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against OLM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | METZ | 8 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | NAN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | NAN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | METZ | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, HAC gamesLe Havre · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.0Slight | |
| Under 3 game total, HAC gamesLe Havre · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | PIN+100at Pinnacle | 23 of 29· last season79%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, HAC gamesLe Havre · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.