This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 250%needs 51% to break even | 12%–88% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 580%needs 51% to break even | 44%–95% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 989%needs 51% to break even | 62%–97% | 37 points betterwon 89%, needs 51% |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 51% to break even | 25%–92% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 21 of 2681%needs 51% to break even | 65%–90% | 29 points betterwon 81%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 23 of 2979%needs 51% to break even | 65%–89% | 28 points betterwon 79%, needs 51% |
Tonight HAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against OLM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against hac +1, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 19 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| May 10 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 3 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | METZ | 0 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 18 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 22 | NAN | -2 | -1 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 22 | -3 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | NAN | 0 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -4 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | METZ | 0 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 31 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 16 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.