This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 3total goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 3.2total goals |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 39% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% | 3.6total goals |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 39% to break even | 19%–71% | 4 points betterwon 43%, needs 39% | 3.6total goals |
| Last season | 10 of 3429%needs 39% to break even | 18%–43% | 10 points shortwon 29%, needs 39% | 3total goals |
| Every game | 13 of 4132%needs 39% to break even | 21%–44% | 8 points shortwon 32%, needs 39% | 3.1total goals |
Tonight RCL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 20 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | NAN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | METZ | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | NAN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | METZ | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, RCL gamesRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 42% to break even8 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, RCL gamesRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 64% to break even14 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL to win moneylineRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 38% to break even16 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -7.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 team totalRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 48% to break even13 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price | |
| RCL PK spreadRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | -122at BetOnline | 22 of 30· last season73%needs 55% to break even16 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price | |
| Both teams score: No, RCL gamesRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 39% to break even11 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -18.6Not beating its price | |
| Draw, RCL gamesRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | tS+270at theScore Bet | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 27% to break even0 of 20 at home | -19.8Not beating its price | ||
| Both teams score: Yes, RCL gamesRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 65% to break even9 of 20 at home | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 team totalRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 14 of 34· last season41%needs 56% to break even7 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -28.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.