This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 39% to break even | 17%–54% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 39% to break even | 3%–45% | 24 points shortwon 14%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 17 of 3450%needs 39% to break even | 36%–64% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 18 of 4144%needs 39% to break even | 32%–57% | 5 points betterwon 44%, needs 39% |
Tonight RCL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 20 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every RC Lens game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| May 17 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 8 | NAN | A team didn't score | Won |
| May 2 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 20 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | METZ | A team didn't score | Won |
| Feb 27 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 7 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 24 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 2 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Dec 14 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Dec 6 | NAN | Both scored | Lost |
| Nov 30 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Nov 8 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 29 | METZ | A team didn't score | Won |
| Oct 25 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 20 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 14 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | A team didn't score | Won | |
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: Yes, RCL gamesRC Lens · Today 2:45 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 65% to break even9 of 20 at home | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.