This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 450%needs 55% to break even | 18%–82% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% | won by 0.2goals |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 956%needs 55% to break even | 30%–78% | 1 points betterwon 56%, needs 55% | won by 0.6goals |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1258%needs 55% to break even | 36%–78% | 3 points betterwon 58%, needs 55% | won by 0.5goals |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 55% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% | won by 0.4goals |
| Last season | 22 of 3073%needs 55% to break even | 59%–84% | 18 points betterwon 73%, needs 55% | won by 0.9goals |
| Every game | 25 of 3669%needs 55% to break even | 56%–80% | 14 points betterwon 69%, needs 55% | won by 0.8goals |
Tonight RCL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 16 of 20 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against RCL PK, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| May 13 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 8 | NAN | 1 | +1 | Won |
| May 2 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 24 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | METZ | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Feb 27 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | NAN | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | METZ | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.