This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 21% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 21% to break even | 14%–73% | 19 points betterwon 40%, needs 21% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 21% to break even | 19%–65% | 19 points betterwon 40%, needs 21% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 21% to break even | 28%–67% | 26 points betterwon 47%, needs 21% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 21% to break even | 19%–71% | 22 points betterwon 43%, needs 21% |
| Last season | 6 of 3418%needs 21% to break even | 9%–31% | 3 points shortwon 18%, needs 21% |
| Every game | 9 of 4122%needs 21% to break even | 13%–34% | 1 points betterwon 22%, needs 21% |
Tonight PAR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
PAR goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | PAR goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | METZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | NAN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | NAN | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | METZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -609at Kalshi | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 86% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR to win moneylineParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +190at Fanatics | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 34% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 59% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 39% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +130at Bally Bet | 15 of 34· last season44%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.