This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% | 1.4goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% | 1.3goals |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 51% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points shortwon 47%, needs 51% | 1.4goals |
| This season | 5 of 1242%needs 51% to break even | 22%–64% | 9 points shortwon 42%, needs 51% | 1.4goals |
| Last season | 21 of 3757% |
Tonight TIJ plays at home, as the favorite, against SAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 26 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TIJ goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET |
| 43%–69% |
| 6 points betterwon 57%, needs 51% |
| 1.5goals |
| Every game | 26 of 4953%needs 51% to break even | 41%–64% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% | 1.4goals |
| Date | Opponent | TIJ goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | MAZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 27 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | MAZ | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| -126at Kalshi |
| 7 of 12· this season58%needs 56% to break even13 of 26 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| -21.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 26% to break even10 of 26 at home |
| 1.8Slight |
| Under 2.5 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 18 of 37· last season49%needs 43% to break even15 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even7 of 26 at home | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 18 of 37· last season49%needs 43% to break even14 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | LVG-133at LowVig | 18 of 29· last season62%needs 57% to break even15 of 22 at home | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 63% to break even12 of 26 at home | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | LVG+102at LowVig | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even7 of 22 at home | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 26 of 37· last season70%needs 67% to break even19 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 19 of 37· last season51%needs 62% to break even11 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| TIJ to win moneylineTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +105at FanDuel | 13 of 37· last season35%needs 49% to break even13 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price |
| TIJ -0.5 spreadTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 13 of 37· last season35%needs 50% to break even13 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -32.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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