This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 46% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 46% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 46% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| This season | 6 of 1250%needs 46% to break even | 29%–71% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 18 of 3749%needs 46% to break even | 36%–62% | 3 points betterwon 49%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 24 of 4949%needs 46% to break even | 38%–60% | 3 points betterwon 49%, needs 46% |
Tonight TIJ plays at home, as the favorite, against SAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIJ to win moneylineTijuana · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | MAZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | MAZ | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 19 of 37· last season51%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -28.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 13 of 37· last season35%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -32.5Not beating its price |
| TIJ -0.5 spreadTijuana · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 13 of 37· last season35%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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