This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 26% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 26% to break even | 44%–95% | 54 points betterwon 80%, needs 26% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 26% to break even | 27%–73% | 24 points betterwon 50%, needs 26% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 26% to break even | 28%–67% | 20 points betterwon 47%, needs 26% |
| This season | 5 of 1242%needs 26% to break even | 22%–64% | 15 points betterwon 42%, needs 26% |
| Last season | 14 of 3738%needs 26% to break even | 26%–51% |
Tonight TIJ plays at home, as the favorite, against SAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 26 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Tijuana game, newest first: whether it ended level.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET |
| 12 points betterwon 38%, needs 26% |
| Every game | 19 of 4939%needs 26% to break even | 28%–51% | 12 points betterwon 39%, needs 26% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 21 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 16 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 10 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Apr 25 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | Draw | Won | |
| Feb 22 | MAZ | Draw | Won |
| Feb 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | Draw | Won | |
| Jan 31 | Draw | Won | |
| Jan 17 | Draw | Won | |
| Jan 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Nov 29 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 31 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | MAZ | Draw | Won |
| Jul 25 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| 18 of 37· last season49%needs 43% to break even15 of 26 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even7 of 26 at home | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 18 of 37· last season49%needs 43% to break even14 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 62% to break even12 of 26 at home | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, TIJ gamesTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 19 of 37· last season51%needs 62% to break even11 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| TIJ to win moneylineTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +105at FanDuel | 13 of 37· last season35%needs 49% to break even13 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price |
| TIJ -0.5 spreadTijuana · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 13 of 37· last season35%needs 50% to break even13 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -32.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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