This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% | 1.8goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% | 1.7goals |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 49% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points shortwon 47%, needs 49% | 1.5goals |
| This season | 6 of 1346%needs 49% to break even | 26%–68% | 3 points shortwon 46%, needs 49% | 1.6goals |
| Last season | 24 of 3667% |
Tonight ATS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against PUE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 25 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ATS goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalAtlas · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: Yes, ATS gamesAtlas · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
| 53%–78% |
| 18 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| 1.2goals |
| Every game | 30 of 4961%needs 49% to break even | 49%–72% | 12 points betterwon 61%, needs 49% | 1.3goals |
| Date | Opponent | ATS goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 17 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 9 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | MAZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | MAZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 58% to break even12 of 25 at home |
| -25.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even16 of 25 at home |
| -9.8Not beating its price |
| Draw, ATS gamesAtlas · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +300at Fanatics | 10 of 36· last season28%needs 25% to break even10 of 25 at home | Record is last season's | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ATS gamesAtlas · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | PRX+108at betPARX | 19 of 36· last season53%needs 48% to break even11 of 25 at home | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ATS gamesAtlas · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -119at BetOnline | 17 of 36· last season47%needs 54% to break even14 of 25 at home | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
| ATS -1.5 spreadAtlas · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 34% to break even2 of 25 at home | -26.4Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, ATS gamesAtlas · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 18 of 36· last season50%needs 50% to break even9 of 25 at home | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
| ATS to win moneylineAtlas · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | PRX-139at betPARX | 6 of 13· this season46%needs 58% to break even8 of 25 at home | Record is this season's | -34.1Not beating its price |
| ATS -0.5 spreadAtlas · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -145at BetOnline | 6 of 13· this season46%needs 59% to break even8 of 25 at home | Record is this season's | -35.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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