This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 56% to break even | 14%–73% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 56% to break even | 19%–65% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 56% to break even | 22%–61% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| This season | 6 of 1346%needs 56% to break even | 26%–68% | 9 points shortwon 46%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 11 of 3631%needs 56% to break even | 20%–44% | 25 points shortwon 31%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 17 of 4935%needs 56% to break even | 25%–46% | 21 points shortwon 35%, needs 56% |
Tonight ATS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against PUE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ats to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, ATS gamesAtlas · Sun, Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | MAZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | MAZ | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 14 of 36· last season39%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ATS gamesAtlas · Sun, Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET | PRX+108at betPARX | 19 of 36· last season53%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ATS gamesAtlas · Sun, Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET | PIN-118at Pinnacle | 17 of 36· last season47%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
| ATS -1.5 spreadAtlas · Sun, Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 34% to break even | -26.4Not beating its price |
| ATS -0.5 spreadAtlas · Sun, Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET | -125at BetOnline | 6 of 13· this season46%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -31.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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