This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% | 2.6goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 56% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% | 2.2goals |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 56% to break even | 46%–83% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% | 2.1goals |
| This season | 9 of 1369%needs 56% to break even | 46%–85% | 13 points betterwon 69%, needs 56% | 2.2goals |
| Last season |
Tonight CAZ plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against QRO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 15 of 28 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CAZ goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
| 25 of 4457%needs 56% to break even |
| 44%–68% |
| 1 points betterwon 57%, needs 56% |
| 1.8goals |
| Every game | 34 of 5760%needs 56% to break even | 49%–70% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% | 1.9goals |
| Date | Opponent | CAZ goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 17 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | MAZ | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | MAZ | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| -107at Kalshi |
| 19 of 44· last season43%needs 52% to break even13 of 28 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -30.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +166at Kalshi |
| 7 of 13· this season54%needs 38% to break even7 of 28 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -10.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 10 of 13· this season77%needs 61% to break even16 of 28 on the road | Record is this season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Draw, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +280at Fanatics | 16 of 44· last season36%needs 26% to break even11 of 28 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +100at BetOnline | 7 of 10· this season70%needs 50% to break even7 of 19 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 31 of 44· last season70%needs 62% to break even22 of 28 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
| CAZ -0.5 spreadCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 24 of 44· last season55%needs 50% to break even13 of 28 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
| CAZ to win moneylineCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +100at BetUS | 24 of 44· last season55%needs 50% to break even13 of 28 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 13 of 44· last season30%needs 43% to break even6 of 28 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 20 of 44· last season45%needs 45% to break even12 of 28 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 32 of 44· last season73%needs 67% to break even21 of 28 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -130at BetOnline | 20 of 32· last season63%needs 57% to break even12 of 19 on the road | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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