This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 67% to break even | 14%–73% | 27 points shortwon 40%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 67% to break even | 27%–73% | 17 points shortwon 50%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 67% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points shortwon 53%, needs 67% |
| This season | 6 of 1346%needs 67% to break even | 26%–68% | 20 points shortwon 46%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 32 of 4473%needs 67% to break even | 61%–82% | 6 points betterwon 73%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 38 of 5767%needs 67% to break even | 56%–76% | evenwon 67%, needs 67% |
Tonight CAZ plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against QRO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Sun, Oct 25, 9:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAZ to win moneylineCruz Azul · Sun, Oct 25, 9:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | MAZ | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | MAZ | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| 10 of 13· this season77%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, CAZ gamesCruz Azul · Sun, Oct 25, 9:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 7 of 13· this season54%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 24 of 44· last season55%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.4Not beating its price |
| CAZ -0.5 spreadCruz Azul · Sun, Oct 25, 9:00 PM ET | PIN-109at Pinnacle | 24 of 44· last season55%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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