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La LigaGame lineSpread
ATM -2.5 (spread)
Won2 of 5last 5 games · 40%
Best price+189Kalshi
Price needs34.6%wins to break even
Every game6 of 47this season and last
Trend score-24.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 35% to break even | 7%–46% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 35% to break even | 5%–33% | 21 points shortwon 13%, needs 35% |
| This season | 2 of 922%needs 35% to break even | 8%–50% | 12 points shortwon 22%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 4 of 3811%needs 35% to break even | 5%–21% | 24 points shortwon 11%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 6 of 4713%needs 35% to break even | 7%–23% | 22 points shortwon 13%, needs 35% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DEP. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
ATM -2.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against atm -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  ESP | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  ALA | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  RMA | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 16 |  OSA | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  RSO | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  ATH | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  SEV | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 |  VIL | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 19 |  MCF | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | VIL | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | GIR | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 12 | OSA | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 9 |  CEL | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 2 |  VAL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | ATH | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 |  ELC | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | SEV | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 |  BAR | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | RMA | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  GET | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | RSO | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | OVI | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | ESP | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 |  RAY | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 |  BET | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 |  LEV | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | MLL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | ALA | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | RSO | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | GIR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | VAL | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | ATH | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | BAR | -2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | OVI | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | GET | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | LEV | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | SEV | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | BET | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | OSA | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | CEL | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | RMA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 24 | RAY | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | MLL | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | VIL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | ALA | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | ELC | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | ESP | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Atletico in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.