This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 33% to break even | 0%–35% | 33 points shortwon 0%, needs 33% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 33% to break even | 7%–46% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 33% to break even | 5%–33% | 20 points shortwon 13%, needs 33% |
| This season | 2 of 922%needs 33% to break even | 8%–50% | 11 points shortwon 22%, needs 33% |
| Last season | 1 of 383%needs 33% to break even | 1%–11% | 30 points shortwon 3%, needs 33% |
| Every game | 3 of 476%needs 33% to break even | 3%–15% | 27 points shortwon 6%, needs 33% |
Tonight ALA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MCF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ala -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalAlavés · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | OVI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | MLL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | GIR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | OVI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | GIR | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | MLL | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even |
| 3.3Good |
| Under 2.5 team totalAlavés · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -373at Polymarket | 35 of 38· last season92%needs 79% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ALA gamesAlavés · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +110at BetUS | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalAlavés · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +296at Kalshi | 2 of 9· this season22%needs 25% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ALA gamesAlavés · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalAlavés · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 12 of 38· last season32%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.6Not beating its price |
| ALA to win moneylineAlavés · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -130at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 57% to break even | -38.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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