Málaga vs Alavés Odds (Oct 23): Spread, Total & Trends · The Daily Hit

La LigaTomorrow 3:00 PM ET

Away

Málaga

17% to win · best +465

Home

Alavés

57% to win · best -130

SpreadTotalTo win

MCF+0.5+115

ALA-0.5-131

Books

19%55%

Polymarket

16%58%

Kalshi

16%58%

Average

17%57%

+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →

Prices

Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean

Book	Moneyline			Spread		Total
Book	MCF	ALA	Draw	MCF +0.5	ALA -0.5	O 2.5	U 2.5
Chance it wins	17.4%fair odds +476	57.0%fair odds -133	25.6%fair odds +290	45.3%fair odds +121	54.7%fair odds -121	46.2%fair odds +116	53.8%fair odds -116
Edge at the best price	-1.8%Normal	+0.8%Slightly good	-3.9%Normal	-2.7%Normal	-3.5%Normal	-2.9%Normal	-2.5%Normal

Before you bet

Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.

Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-GasteizPlayoff series: ALA leads 4-1

MCFAway · 0-4-5 overall

Last 5: TLLTL
Rest: 5 days
Injuries: None listed

No one on the injury report.

Season averages

Goal Difference: -12
Total Goals: 6
Assists: 4
Goals Against: 18

ALAHome · 3-2-4 overall

Last 5: LLTLL
Rest: 5 days
Injuries: None listed

No one on the injury report.

Season averages

Goal Difference: 3
Total Goals: 13
Assists: 9
Goals Against: 10

Before you bet

Loading injuries and weather…

Trends

Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.

Every trend in this game

Team trends

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details
Under 1.5 team totalAlavés	-105at Polymarket	5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even		3.3Good

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.

Bets not beating their price (9) they've won less often than their price needs

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details
MCF to win moneylineMálaga

Trends

Loading game logs…

Prediction markets

On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.

PolymarketTrade ↗

MCF16.4%

ALA58.2%

$2,600 available at this price$5,600 available at this price

ALA 55.5% → 58.5% today$8K traded · ALA win chance, last 24 hours
$5K traded today · $388K in open orders

PolymarketTrade ↗

MCF16.4%

ALA58.2%

no history$8K traded · ALA win chance, last 24 hours
$5K traded today · $388K in open orders

KalshiTrade ↗

MCF16.4%

ALA58.2%

$4,500 available at this price$19,000 available at this price

ALA 55.5% → 58.5% todayabout $34K traded · ALA win chance, last 24 hours
about $24K traded today

KalshiTrade ↗

MCF16.4%

ALA58.2%

no historyabout $34K traded · ALA win chance, last 24 hours
about $24K traded today

Every number

Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.

Spread

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
ALA -1.5	32% chance	+202	MCF +1.5-234
ALA -2.5	14% chance	+585	MCF +2.5-704

Total

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
Over 1.5	72% chance	-276	Under 1.5+245
Over 2.5Most books' number	47% chance	+110	Under 2.5-123$1,300 available at this price

Sharp money

Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.

Money tradedabout $42K

$8K traded

about $34K traded

Riding on it now$61Kpaid out when the game ends

Sharp money, last 24 hoursNoneno trades of $10,000 or more

No single trade of $10,000 or more on this game in the last 24 hours.

"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works