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La LigaGame lineTotal
Espanyol @ Villarreal: under 2.5
Won19 of 38last season · 50%
Best price+133Bally Bet
Price needs42.9%wins to break even
Every game23 of 47this season and last
Trend score-11.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 43% to break even | 27%–73% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 43% to break even | 33%–72% | 10 points betterwon 53%, needs 43% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 43% to break even | 22%–70% | 2 points betterwon 44%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 19 of 3850%needs 43% to break even | 37%–63% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 23 of 4749%needs 43% to break even | 37%–61% | 6 points betterwon 49%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ESP plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against VIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Espanyol @ Villarreal: under 2.53 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  ATM | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 9 |  MCF | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 18 |  ELC | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 |  RAY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  OSA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  SEV | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  RSO | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 |  RMA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 |  LEV | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | RSO | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | OSA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 13 |  ATH | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 9 | SEV | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 3 | RMA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | LEV | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 23 | RAY | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 |  BAR | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 |  BET | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  GET | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | MLL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 | OVI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | ELC | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | ATM | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 14 |  CEL | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  VIL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  ALA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 |  VAL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 | GIR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | LEV | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | BAR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 | ATH | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | GET | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | RAY | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | CEL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | SEV | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | VIL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | ALA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | ELC | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 | OVI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | BET | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | GIR | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 23 | VAL | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | RMA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 15 | MLL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | OSA | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | RSO | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | ATM | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, ESP gamesEspanyol · Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET |  -175at Bally Bet | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Espanyol in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESP +1 spreadEspanyol · Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET | PIN-113at Pinnacle | 22 of 30· last season73%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.5Not beating its price | |
| ESP to win moneylineEspanyol · Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET | +460at Bally Bet | 12 of 38· last season32%needs 18% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.