This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 18% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 18% to break even | 5%–56% | 2 points betterwon 20%, needs 18% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 18% to break even | 7%–46% | 2 points betterwon 20%, needs 18% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 18% to break even | 13%–48% | 9 points betterwon 27%, needs 18% |
| This season | 2 of 922%needs 18% to break even | 8%–50% | 4 points betterwon 22%, needs 18% |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 18% to break even | 21%–45% | 14 points betterwon 32%, needs 18% |
| Every game | 14 of 4730%needs 18% to break even | 20%–42% | 12 points betterwon 30%, needs 18% |
Tonight ESP plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against VIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against esp to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESP +1 spreadEspanyol · Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET |
| Margin |
|---|
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | MLL | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 | OVI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | GIR | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | OVI | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | GIR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | MLL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 22 of 30· last season73%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ESP gamesEspanyol · Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET | +133at Bally Bet | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ESP gamesEspanyol · Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET | -175at Bally Bet | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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