This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 367%needs 53% to break even | 25%–92% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even | 54%–93% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 22 of 3073%needs 53% to break even | 59%–84% | 20 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 26 of 3574%needs 53% to break even | 61%–84% | 21 points betterwon 74%, needs 53% |
Tonight ESP plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against VIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against esp +1, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +4 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| May 17 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| May 13 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| May 9 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 3 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 11 | -3 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 15 | MLL | -1 | 0 | Tie |
| Mar 9 | OVI | 0 | +1 | Won |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | -3 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 24 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 16 | GIR | -2 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | OVI | 2 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 5 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 26 | GIR | 0 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 23 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | MLL | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESP to win moneylineEspanyol · Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET | +460at Bally Bet | 12 of 38· last season32%needs 18% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 game total, ESP gamesEspanyol · Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET | +133at Bally Bet | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 game total, ESP gamesEspanyol · Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET | -175at Bally Bet | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.