This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 54% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 54% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 54% to break even | 29%–81% | 3 points betterwon 57%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 20 of 3853%needs 54% to break even | 40%–65% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 24 of 4553%needs 54% to break even | 41%–65% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 54% |
Tonight ARS plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against EVE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 18 | BUR | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | WHU | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 18 | WOL | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | WOL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | BUR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | WHU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, ARS gamesArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +105at BetUS | 18 of 38· last season47%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.