This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 34% to break even | 0%–35% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 34% to break even | 2%–35% | 24 points shortwon 10%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 34% to break even | 5%–33% | 21 points shortwon 13%, needs 34% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 34% to break even | 3%–45% | 20 points shortwon 14%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 9 of 3824%needs 34% to break even | 14%–37% | 10 points shortwon 24%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 10 of 4522%needs 34% to break even | 14%–34% | 12 points shortwon 22%, needs 34% |
Tonight ARS plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against EVE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ARS goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS to win moneylineArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | ARS goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | BUR | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | WHU | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 18 | WOL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | WOL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | BUR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | WHU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 41% to break even |
| -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -234at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 70% to break even | -6.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 68% to break even |
| -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ARS gamesArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -118at Bovada | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ARS gamesArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +105at BetUS | 18 of 38· last season47%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| ARS -1 spreadArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -136at BetUS | 12 of 24· last season50%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| ARS -1.5 spreadArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +131at Polymarket | 12 of 38· last season32%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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