This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 43% to break even | 13%–48% | 17 points shortwon 27%, needs 43% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 43% to break even | 10%–59% | 15 points shortwon 29%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 43% to break even | 21%–45% | 12 points shortwon 32%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 14 of 4531%needs 43% to break even | 21%–43% | 12 points shortwon 31%, needs 43% |
Tonight ARS plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against EVE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ars -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 team totalArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | BUR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | WHU | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 18 | WOL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | WOL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | BUR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | WHU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 70% to break even |
| -6.4Not beating its price |
| ARS to win moneylineArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | PIN-212at Pinnacle | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 68% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +143at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 41% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ARS gamesArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -118at Bovada | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ARS gamesArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +105at BetUS | 18 of 38· last season47%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 9 of 38· last season24%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalArsenal · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -172at Polymarket | 21 of 38· last season55%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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