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EPLGame lineTotal
Nottingham Forest @ Ipswich Town: over 3.5
Won6 of 15last 15 games · 40%
Best price+193Polymarket
Price needs34.1%wins to break even
Every game12 of 45this season and last
Trend score-18.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 34% to break even | 5%–56% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 34% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 34% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 34% to break even | 10%–59% | 6 points shortwon 29%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 10 of 3826%needs 34% to break even | 16%–39% | 8 points shortwon 26%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 12 of 4527%needs 34% to break even | 17%–39% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 34% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NFO plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against IPS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Nottingham Forest @ Ipswich Town: over 3.58 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  ARS | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  CRY | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  COV | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  AVL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  TOT | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  LIV | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 |  LEE | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  BOU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 17 |  MAN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 10 |  NEW | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 4 |  CHE | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 |  SUN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | BUR | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 | AVL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | TOT | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  FUL | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 |  MNC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  BHA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | LIV | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | WOL | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | LEE | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | CRY | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  BRE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | ARS | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | WHU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | AVL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 |  EVE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | MNC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 | FUL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | TOT | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | EVE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | WOL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | BHA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | LIV | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | LEE | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | MAN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | BOU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | CHE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | NEW | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | SUN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | BUR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | ARS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | WHU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | CRY | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | BRE | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, NFO gamesNottingham Forest · Today 3:00 PM ET |  +116at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3 game total, NFO gamesNottingham Forest · Today 3:00 PM ET |  -150at Bovada | 18 of 28· last season64%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Nottingham Forest in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.