This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 44% to break even | 5%–56% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 44% to break even | 2%–35% | 34 points shortwon 10%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 44% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 44% to break even | 3%–45% | 30 points shortwon 14%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 11 of 3829%needs 44% to break even | 19%–42% | 15 points shortwon 29%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 12 of 4527%needs 44% to break even | 17%–39% | 17 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
Tonight NFO plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against IPS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against nfo to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalNottingham Forest · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | BUR | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | WOL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | WHU | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | WOL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | BUR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | WHU | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 25 of 38· last season66%needs 55% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, NFO gamesNottingham Forest · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +116at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, NFO gamesNottingham Forest · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 34% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, NFO gamesNottingham Forest · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 18 of 28· last season64%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, NFO gamesNottingham Forest · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 6 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped46%needs 44% to break even | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, NFO gamesNottingham Forest · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -128at Bovada | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalNottingham Forest · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 49% to break even | -29.5Not beating its price |
| NFO -0.5 spreadNottingham Forest · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +133at BetUS | 11 of 38· last season29%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price |
| NFO 0 spreadNottingham Forest · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -155at Bovada | 5 of 10· last 15 games, 5 skipped50%needs 61% to break even | -39.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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