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EPLGame lineSpread
NFO -0.5 (spread)
Won11 of 38last season · 29%
Best price+133BetUS
Price needs42.9%wins to break even
Every game12 of 45this season and last
Trend score-29.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 43% to break even | 2%–35% | 33 points shortwon 10%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 43% to break even | 3%–45% | 29 points shortwon 14%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 11 of 3829%needs 43% to break even | 19%–42% | 14 points shortwon 29%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 12 of 4527%needs 43% to break even | 17%–39% | 16 points shortwon 27%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NFO plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against IPS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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NFO -0.5 (spread)7 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against nfo -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  ARS | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  CRY | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  COV | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  AVL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  TOT | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  LIV | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 |  LEE | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  BOU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 |  MAN | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 10 |  NEW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 4 |  CHE | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 |  SUN | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | BUR | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 | AVL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | TOT | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  FUL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 |  MNC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  BHA | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | LIV | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | WOL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | LEE | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 | CRY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  BRE | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | ARS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | WHU | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | AVL | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 |  EVE | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | MNC | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 | FUL | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | TOT | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | EVE | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | WOL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | BHA | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | LIV | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | LEE | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | MAN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | BOU | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | CHE | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | NEW | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | SUN | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | BUR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | ARS | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | WHU | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | CRY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | BRE | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Nottingham Forest in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.