This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 64% to break even | 44%–95% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 64% to break even | 46%–83% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 64% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 64% to break even | 41%–90% | 7 points betterwon 71%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 24 of 3863%needs 64% to break even | 50%–75% | 1 points shortwon 63%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 29 of 4564%needs 64% to break even | 52%–75% | evenwon 64%, needs 64% |
Tonight MAN plays at home, as the favorite, against BOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, MAN gamesManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | WHU | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | BUR | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | WOL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | WOL | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | WHU | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | BUR | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 24 of 38· last season63%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.5Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MAN gamesManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +159at Kalshi | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even |
| -15.7Not beating its price |
| MAN to win moneylineManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +116at Polymarket | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -109at Polymarket | 22 of 38· last season58%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price |
| MAN -0.5 spreadManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +103at BetOnline | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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