This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 47% to break even | 0%–35% | 47 points shortwon 0%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 47% to break even | 13%–56% | 17 points shortwon 30%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 47% to break even | 22%–61% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 47% to break even | 3%–45% | 33 points shortwon 14%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 20 of 3853%needs 47% to break even | 40%–65% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 21 of 4547%needs 47% to break even | 35%–59% | 1 points shortwon 47%, needs 47% |
Tonight MAN plays at home, as the favorite, against BOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against man to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, MAN gamesManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | WHU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | BUR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | WOL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | WOL | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | WHU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | BUR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even |
| -7.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -105at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, MAN gamesManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -179at Polymarket | 24 of 38· last season63%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MAN gamesManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +159at Kalshi | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -119at Polymarket | 22 of 38· last season58%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.0Not beating its price |
| MAN -0.5 spreadManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +103at BetOnline | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, MAN gamesManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -158at Polymarket | 24 of 38· last season63%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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