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EPLGame lineTotal
Bournemouth @ Manchester United: over 2.5
Won24 of 38last season · 63%
Best price-154Kalshi
Price needs60.6%wins to break even
Every game26 of 45this season and last
Trend score-31.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 61% to break even | 5%–56% | 41 points shortwon 20%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 61% to break even | 19%–65% | 21 points shortwon 40%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 61% to break even | 33%–72% | 7 points shortwon 53%, needs 61% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 61% to break even | 10%–59% | 32 points shortwon 29%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 24 of 3863%needs 61% to break even | 50%–75% | 3 points betterwon 63%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 26 of 4558%needs 61% to break even | 46%–69% | 3 points shortwon 58%, needs 61% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MAN plays at home, as the favorite, against BOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Bournemouth @ Manchester United: over 2.57 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  LEE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  TOT | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  FUL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  MNC | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  EVE | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  IPS | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 |  HUL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  BHA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 |  NFO | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 9 |  SUN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 3 |  LIV | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 |  BRE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 |  CHE | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 13 | LEE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  BOU | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  AVL | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 |  NEW | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  CRY | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | EVE | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 | WHU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | TOT | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 | FUL | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  ARS | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | MNC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | BUR | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | LEE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | WOL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | NEW | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | AVL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | BOU | 8 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | WOL | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | WHU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | CRY | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | EVE | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | TOT | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | NFO | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | BHA | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | LIV | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | SUN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | BRE | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | CHE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | MNC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | BUR | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | FUL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | ARS | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, MAN gamesManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  +137at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 game total, MAN gamesManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -179at Polymarket | 24 of 38· last season63%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Manchester United in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -105at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price | ||
| MAN to win moneylineManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +112at Polymarket | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 team totalManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -119at Polymarket | 22 of 38· last season58%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.0Not beating its price | |
| MAN -0.5 spreadManchester United · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  +103at BetOnline | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.