This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 42% to break even | 44%–95% | 38 points betterwon 80%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 42% to break even | 35%–81% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 42% to break even | 33%–72% | 11 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 42% to break even | 35%–88% | 24 points betterwon 67%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 17 of 3450%needs 42% to break even | 36%–64% | 8 points betterwon 50%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 21 of 4053%needs 42% to break even | 40%–65% | 10 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
Tonight B04 plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TSG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against b04 to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B04 0 spreadBayer Leverkusen · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | WOB | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | HDH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | STP | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | WOB | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | HDH | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | STP | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 4 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped100%needs 56% to break even |
| -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, B04 gamesBayer Leverkusen · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN+100at Pinnacle | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 50% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, B04 gamesBayer Leverkusen · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN-112at Pinnacle | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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