This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 4100%needs 56% to break even | 60%–100% | 44 points betterwon 100%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 875%needs 56% to break even | 46%–91% | 19 points betterwon 75%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1173%needs 56% to break even | 48%–89% | 17 points betterwon 73%, needs 56% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 17 of 2665%needs 56% to break even | 49%–79% | 10 points betterwon 65%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 21 of 3168%needs 56% to break even | 53%–80% | 12 points betterwon 68%, needs 56% |
Tonight B04 plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TSG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against b04 0, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B04 to win moneylineBayer Leverkusen · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 9 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | WOB | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Mar 21 | HDH | 0 | 0 | Tie |
| Mar 14 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | STP | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Feb 7 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | WOB | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Nov 8 | HDH | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | STP | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even |
| -5.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, B04 gamesBayer Leverkusen · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN+100at Pinnacle | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 50% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, B04 gamesBayer Leverkusen · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN-112at Pinnacle | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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